Brasileiro | Gameweek 23
Sep 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo
Fortaleza2 - 1Corinthians
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Corinthians 0-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
22
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 65.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.95%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortaleza | Draw | Corinthians |
65.34% ( -0.1) | 21.89% ( 0.08) | 12.76% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 40.19% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.88% ( -0.28) | 55.11% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.63% ( -0.23) | 76.36% ( 0.23) |
Fortaleza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( -0.13) | 16.24% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( -0.24) | 45.75% ( 0.23) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.97% ( -0.15) | 52.02% ( 0.15) |