Fortaleza

4 - 0

Santos

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.