MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 18:19:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Sep 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Vasco da Gama

Bahia
1 - 1
Vasco

Ademir (45')
Gilberto (20'), Hugo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vegetti (63' pen.)
Pele (41'), Medel (72'), Vitor (90+8')
Jair (90+4')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Bahia
Sunday, August 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Vasco
Sunday, August 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
51.38% (0.477 0.48) 24.52% (0.044 0.04) 24.09% (-0.525 -0.52)
Both teams to score 52.38% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (-0.646 -0.65)49.52% (0.641 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (-0.583 -0.58)71.55% (0.57900000000001 0.58)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)19.26% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)50.99% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (-0.812 -0.81)35.12% (0.808 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (-0.857 -0.86)71.87% (0.85299999999999 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 51.38%
    Vasco da Gama 24.09%
    Draw 24.51%
BahiaDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 11.14% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 51.38%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.51%
0-1 @ 7.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 3.7% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head
May 2, 2023 12am
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia
Benitez (16')
Castan (80')
Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
Dec 5, 2019 10.15pm
Gameweek 37
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Gilberto (45' pen.)
Flavio (71'), Arthur (80'), Friedrich (91')
Arthur (82')
Marrony (85')
Richard (42'), Bastos (89')
Graca (43')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
0-2
Bahia

Henrique (47'), Junior (69'), Pikachu (73')
Paraiba (56'), Gilberto (61')
Elber (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR641193613
2Bahia641196313
3FlamengoFlamengo632175211
4Botafogo6312127510
5Sao Paulo6312106410
6Cruzeiro531187110
7Atletico Mineiro52309369
8BragantinoBragantino62317619
9PalmeirasPalmeiras62223308
10FortalezaFortaleza51405417
11InternacionalInternacional42114317
12Gremio42024316
13Vasco da GamaVasco6204611-56
14CriciumaCriciuma31206245
15JuventudeJuventude412157-25
16Corinthians612335-25
17Fluminense6123812-45
18Vitoria5014511-61
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO501428-61
20Cuiaba4004010-100


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!