Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 14, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR3 - 2Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Internacional 0-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, May 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Vasco
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, May 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Coritiba |
61.76% ( 1.13) | 21.82% ( -0.49) | 16.41% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
