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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 9, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril

Union
1 - 3
Newell's OB

Del Blanco (72')
Gamba (45+4'), Corvalan (54'), Mosqueira (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ramirez (7', 41', 58')
Mendez (76'), Martino (78')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Newell's Old Boys.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Union
Monday, February 5 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Newell's OB 1-0 Belgrano
Monday, February 5 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 34.47%. A win for Union had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 32.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.89%) and 1-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Union win was 1-0 (14.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawNewell's Old Boys
33.28% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11) 32.26% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 34.47% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 36.6% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.49% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)71.51% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.82% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)88.18% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.06% (-0.123 -0.12)39.94% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (-0.114 -0.11)76.59% (0.119 0.12)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.023000000000003 0.02)39.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.02 0.02)75.79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Union 33.28%
    Newell's Old Boys 34.46%
    Draw 32.26%
UnionDrawNewell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.57% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 33.28%
0-0 @ 15.6% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.46%
2-2 @ 2.9% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 32.26%
0-1 @ 14.66% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.89% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Newell's OB
1-1
Union
Eduardo Recalde (57')
Sforza (17'), Eduardo Recalde (58')
Zenon (63')
Vera (11'), Nahuel Banega (60'), Paz (90+5')
Jun 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 20
Newell's OB
1-1
Union
Eduardo Recalde (25')
Gomez (87')
Zenon (61')
Corvalan (45'), Gordillo (65'), Vera (90+1')
Oct 1, 2022 1.30am
Apr 9, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
Union
1-0
Newell's OB
Gonzalez (60' pen.)
Polenta (49'), Luna Diale (62'), Corvalan (69'), Carlos Portillo (73'), Mele (77'), Roldan (80'), Bucca (90+3')

Perez (52'), Fernandez (77'), Giani (85'), Sforza (90+5')
Nov 8, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Newell's OB
1-0
Union
Perez (50')

Esquivel (90')
rhs 2.0
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