Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Jul 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
Union2 - 0Defensa
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ramos Mingo (50'), Gutierrez (83'), Valentin Vargas (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Defensa y Justicia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Union
Monday, July 24 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, July 24 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Defensa 3-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, July 23 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, July 23 at 10.45pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 43.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 27.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
43.92% ( 0.05) | 28.66% ( -0.01) | 27.41% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 43.46% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
