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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 25, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Julio César Villagra

Belgrano
0 - 2
Tigre


Meriano (11'), Vegetti (89'), Compagnucci (90')
Losada (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Retegui (70', 87')
Ortega (48'), Zabala (72'), Molinas (89'), Retegui (89')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Tigre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, February 18 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division

Tigre

All competitions
Last Game: Tigre 0-1 River Plate
Saturday, February 18 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 41.99%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 28.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Belgrano win it was 1-0 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigre would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawTigre
28.76% (0.413 0.41) 29.24% (0.482 0.48) 41.99% (-0.898 -0.9)
Both teams to score 42.68% (-1.027 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.23% (-1.378 -1.38)63.76% (1.376 1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.98% (-0.997 -1)83.02% (0.995 1)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61% (-0.433 -0.43)38.99% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.28% (-0.41 -0.41)75.71% (0.40899999999999 0.41)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (-1.181 -1.18)30.04% (1.179 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (-1.444 -1.44)66.17% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 28.76%
    Tigre 41.99%
    Draw 29.24%
BelgranoDrawTigre
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.43 0.43)
2-1 @ 6.25% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.19% (0.141 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 28.76%
1-1 @ 13.26% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 11.71% (0.59 0.59)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.24%
0-1 @ 14.08% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 8.47% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 41.99%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2018 12.15am
Belgrano
1-2
Tigre
Brunetta (54')
Rivero (41'), Nani (45'), Brunetta (54'), Sequeira (68')
Silveira (74'), Gonzalez (94')
Perez Acuna (76')
rhs 2.0
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