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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Oct 9, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Tomas Adolfo Duco

Barracas Central
2 - 1
Colon

Dominguez (62'), Arce (81')
Arce (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Galvan (14')
Batallini (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Barracas Central and Colon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barracas Central 1-1 Sarmiento
Monday, October 2 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 0-0 Union
Sunday, October 1 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Barracas Central 1-1 Colon

Barracas have looked much more comfortable defensively in front of their home fans, but they will be coming up against a Colon side full of confidence given their form in this phase, so three points might be hard to come by for Baraquenos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colon win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Barracas Central had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Barracas Central win was 1-0 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Barracas CentralDrawColon
33.05% (-1.915 -1.92) 29.19% (-0.855 -0.86) 37.76% (2.78 2.78)
Both teams to score 44.16% (2.131 2.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.4% (2.636 2.64)62.6% (-2.629 -2.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.82% (1.882 1.88)82.18% (-1.872 -1.87)
Barracas Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.91% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.09% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.16% (0.087 0.09)71.84% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Colon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.03% (3.203 3.2)31.97% (-3.195 -3.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.58% (3.496 3.5)68.42% (-3.488 -3.49)
Score Analysis
    Barracas Central 33.05%
    Colon 37.76%
    Draw 29.17%
Barracas CentralDrawColon
1-0 @ 11.74% (-1.18 -1.18)
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.15% (-0.601 -0.6)
3-1 @ 2.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.4% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 33.05%
1-1 @ 13.39% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 11.21% (-1.15 -1.15)
2-2 @ 4% (0.312 0.31)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 12.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.582 0.58)
0-2 @ 7.3% (0.541 0.54)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.445 0.45)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.421 0.42)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.236 0.24)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.76%

How you voted: Barracas Central vs Colon

Barracas Central
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Colon
8.3%
12
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 17
Colon
1-1
Barracas Central
Alvarez (39')
Goltz (62'), Picco (76')
Tapia (61')
Calderara (38')
Aug 28, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 16
Barracas Central
1-0
Colon
Goltz (36' og.)
Tapia (63'), Arce (74'), Castro (87')

Agustin Ojeda (22'), Miguel Rodriguez (78'), Picco (82'), Abila (89'), Delgado (90+4')
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Colon
2-1
Barracas Central
Bernardi (39'), Beltran (61')
Ferreyra (19')
Arce (45+2'), Ferreyra (53')
rhs 2.0
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