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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 27
Oct 22, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
 

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Mac Allister (45+4'), Veron (80')
Gonzalez (35'), Nuss (51'), Redondo (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomez (55')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Last Game: Gimnasia 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Monday, October 17 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 4-0 Estudiantes
Monday, October 17 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 47.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
47.41% (1.1 1.1) 27.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.16% (-1.108 -1.11)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.885 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.41% (-0.693 -0.69)59.58% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.08% (-0.535 -0.54)79.92% (0.53400000000001 0.53)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (0.223 0.22)25.22% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.04% (0.305 0.31)59.95% (-0.306 -0.31)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.26% (-1.367 -1.37)39.73% (1.368 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.59% (-1.286 -1.29)76.4% (1.286 1.29)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 47.41%
    Velez Sarsfield 25.16%
    Draw 27.42%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 9.51% (0.364 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.194 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.076 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.01% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.25% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.211 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 25.16%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2022 12.30am
Argentinos Jrs
1-0
Velez Sarsfield
Vera (74')
Gomez (32'), Mac Allister (86'), Galarza (90+5')
Nov 24, 2021 12.30am
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Argentinos Jrs
Gianetti (80'), Pratto (90+3')
Jara (36'), Poblete (82')

Avalos (38'), Gomez (43'), Minissale (65'), Carabajal (70'), Torren (78')
Torren (78')
Feb 27, 2021 12.30am
Argentinos Jrs
0-2
Velez Sarsfield

Sandoval (29'), Vera (41'), Florentin (45'), Cabrera (65'), Mac Allister (90+2')
Vera (62'), Sandoval (65')
Janson (53'), Almada (84')
Galdames (13'), Martin Lucero (27'), Abram (61')
Mar 2, 2020 12.50am
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
Argentinos Jrs
Romero (40'), Almada (78')
Galdames (25'), Gimenez (33'), de los Santos (90')

Hauche (82')
Mar 12, 2019 12.10am
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Velez Sarsfield

Moyano (59'), Batallini (69'), Hauche (89')

Laso (31'), Hoyos (61')
rhs 2.0
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