Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.71% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.06%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
37.71% ( -0.43) | 21.97% ( -0.06) | 40.31% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 69.45% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.46% ( 0.28) | 30.53% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.17% ( 0.34) | 51.83% ( -0.34) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.8% ( -0.06) | 17.19% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.54% ( -0.1) | 47.46% ( 0.1) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.87% ( 0.32) | 16.12% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.44% ( 0.57) | 45.55% ( -0.57) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 37.71% | 1-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.72% Total : 40.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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