Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.09% ( -0.02) | 21.03% ( 0.01) | 61.88% |
Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( -0.09) | 43.63% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( -0.09) | 66.02% ( 0.08) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% ( -0.07) | 38.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% ( -0.07) | 75.64% ( 0.06) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( -0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( -0.06) | 40.65% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 61.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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