We said: Czech Republic 3-0 Faroe Islands
Czech Republic have won each of their last five matches against nations currently ranked 100th or lower in the FIFA standings and having won seven out of seven meetings with Faroe Islands, who tend to struggle away from home, they will be regarded as firm favourites to secure maximum points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 7.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.12%) and 3-0 (11.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Czech Republic would win this match.