South Africa national football team
Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 2, 2023 at 8am UK
Westpac Stadium

S. Africa Women
3 - 2
Italy Women

Orsi (32' og.), Magaia (67'), Kgatlana (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Caruso (11' pen., 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's World Cup clash between South Africa Women and Italy Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Argentina Women 2-2 S. Africa Women
Friday, July 28 at 1am in Women's World Cup

Italy Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last Game: Sweden Women 5-0 Italy Women
Saturday, July 29 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
4.06% (0.0981 0.1)8.9% (0.185 0.19)87.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.81% (-0.50699999999999 -0.51)25.19% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.84% (-0.663 -0.66)45.16% (0.667 0.67)
South Africa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.93% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)53.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)86.7% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Italy Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.22% (-0.119 -0.12)3.78% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.83% (-0.401 -0.4)16.17% (0.405 0.41)
Score Analysis
    South Africa Women 4.06%
    Italy Women 87.03%
    Draw 8.9%
South Africa WomenDrawItaly Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
1-1 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 2.16% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
0-3 @ 11.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 7.44% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.085 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.153 0.15)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%

How you voted: S. Africa Women vs Italy Women

South Africa Women
30.2%
Draw
13.2%
Italy Women
56.6%
53