Women's World Cup
Aug 2, 2023 8.00am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Benedetta Orsi 32' goal
  • Hildah Magaia 67' goal
  • Thembi Kgatlana 90'+2' goal
  • goal Arianna Caruso 11'
  • goal Arianna Caruso 74'

South Africa Women vs Italy Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 28, 2023 1.00am
Argentina Women 2 - 2 S. Africa Women

Italy Women

All competitions
Women's World Cup
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 8.30am
Sweden Women 5 - 0 Italy Women

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Women win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 4.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 0-4 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.17%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 2-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result

South Africa Women 4.06% (+0.10)
Draw 8.9% (+0.19)
Italy Women 87.04% (-0.29)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.15% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.81% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 25.19% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 54.84% (-0.67)
Under 3.5 45.16% (+0.67)
Over 4.5 35.32% (-0.65)
Under 4.5 64.68% (+0.66)

South Africa Women Goals

Over 0.5 46.93% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 53.07% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 13.3% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 86.7% (+0.02)

Italy Women Goals

Over 0.5 96.22% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 3.78% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 83.83% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 16.17% (+0.41)

Score analysis

South Africa Women 4.06%
Draw 8.9%
Italy Women 87.03%
South Africa Women
2-1 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 1.27% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 4.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.17% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 2.16% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 2.01% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 8.9%
Italy Women
0-3 @ 11.75% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 10.76% (+0.15)
0-4 @ 9.62% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 7.44% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 6.82% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.16)
0-5 @ 6.3% (-0.11)
1-4 @ 6.09% (-0.05)
1-5 @ 3.99% (-0.07)
0-6 @ 3.44% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
1-6 @ 2.18% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.93% (-0.02)
0-7 @ 1.61% (-0.06)
2-5 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
1-7 @ 1.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 87.03%