Women's World Cup | Group Stage
Aug 3, 2023 at 11am UK
HBF Park

Morocco Women
1 - 0
Colombia Women

Lahmari (45+4')
Chebbak (90+11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vanegas (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Women's World Cup clash between Morocco Women and Colombia Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco Women

All competitions
Last Game: S. Korea Women 0-1 Morocco Women
Sunday, July 30 at 5.30am in Women's World Cup

Colombia Women

All competitions
Last Game: Germany Women 1-2 Colombia Women
Sunday, July 30 at 10.30am in Women's World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colombia Women win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Morocco Women had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colombia Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Morocco Women win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Morocco WomenDrawColombia Women
26.6% (0.278 0.28)22.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)50.58% (-0.278 -0.28)
Both teams to score 60.62% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.19% (0.229 0.23)39.81% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.84% (0.238 0.24)62.16% (-0.236 -0.24)
Morocco Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.1% (0.32499999999999 0.32)27.9% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.49% (0.411 0.41)63.51% (-0.409 -0.41)
Colombia Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.08% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)15.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.17% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morocco Women 26.6%
    Colombia Women 50.58%
    Draw 22.81%
Morocco WomenDrawColombia Women
2-1 @ 6.65% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.62% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.83% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 26.6%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.72% (0.01 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 50.58%

How you voted: Morocco Women vs Colombia Women

Morocco Women
20.9%
Draw
17.9%
Colombia Women
61.2%
67