Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Oct 4, 2026 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Lauren May Hemp 45'+1' goal
  • Kerstin Yasmijn Casparij 63' goal
  • Lauren May Hemp 72' goal
  • Khadija Monifa Shaw 84' goal
  • goal Lisa Baum 43'
  • goal Alessia Mia Teresa Russo 49'
  • yellowcard Olivia Smith 82'

Manchester City Women vs Arsenal Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 26, 2026 1.30pm
Charlton W 0 - 1 Man City
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Khadija Monifa Shaw

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Sep 27, 2026 4.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 0 Arsenal
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Lisa Baum

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 36.05% and a draw has a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.37%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win is 2-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result

Manchester City Women 36.05% ▼ (-0.99)
Draw 23.84% ▲ (+0.22)
Arsenal Women 40.17% ▲ (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.8% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.72% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 1.5 15.28% ▲ (+1.04)
Over 2.5 64.24% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 2.5 35.76% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 3.5 42.48% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 57.52% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 4.5 26.08% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 4.5 73.92% ▲ (+0.99)

First Half Winner

Manchester City Women 31.12% ▲ (+1.16)
Draw 34.26% ▼ (-0.54)
Arsenal Women 34.63% ▼ (-0.60)

Team To Score First

Manchester City Women 45.12% ▼ (-0.32)
No Goal 3.35% ▲ (+0.19)
Arsenal Women 51.53% ▲ (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 66.69% ▼ (-6.30)
Equal 8 8.51% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 8 24.81% ▲ (+6.61)
Over 9 57.36% ▼ (-5.50)
Equal 9 9.33% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 9 33.31% ▲ (+6.31)
Over 10.5 47.81% ▼ (-4.34)
Under 10.5 52.19% ▲ (+4.34)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 1.5 44.57% ▼ (-1.47)
Under 1.5 55.43% ▲ (+1.47)
Over 2.5 20.94% ▼ (-1.44)
Under 2.5 79.06% ▲ (+1.44)
Over 3.5 8.34% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 3.5 91.66% ▲ (+0.93)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5 76.25% ▲ (+0.55)
Under 0.5 23.75% ▼ (-0.56)
Over 1.5 47.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 52.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 22.55%
Under 2.5 77.45%
Over 3.5 8.28% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 91.72% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Manchester City Women 36.04%
Draw 23.84%
Arsenal Women 40.17%
Manchester City Women
2-1 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.23)
1-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.28)
2-0 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▲ (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.86)
Total : 36.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.55% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.19)
3-3 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 23.84%
Arsenal Women
1-2 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.13)
0-1 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.63)
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.24)
2-3 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.09)
0-3 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 40.17%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 15
Feb 8, 2026 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Olivia Smith 17' goal
  • Frida Leonhardsen Maanum 68' yellowcard
  • Smilla Hilma Holmberg 84' yellowcard
  • Chloe Maggie Kelly 84' yellowcard
  • Leah Cathrine Williamson 84' yellowcard
  • Laia Codina Panedas 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Samantha Coffey 46'
  • yellowcard Iman Beney 73'
  • yellowcard Grace Clinton 90'+6'
Women's Super League
Oct 4, 2025 12.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Feb 2, 2025 12.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Academy Stadium
  • Mary Fowler 20' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 50' goal
  • Mary Fowler 55' goal
  • Kerstin Casparij 79' yellowcard
  • goal Mariona Caldentey 1'
  • goal Lotte Wubben-Moy 8'
  • goal Frida Maanum 51'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 78'
Women's Super League Gameweek 1
Sep 22, 2024 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Park
  • Jonas Eidevall 0' yellowcard
  • Frida Maanum 8' goal
  • Beth Mead 81' goal
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 42'
  • goal Jessica Park 58'
  • yellowcard Kerstin Casparij 79'
  • yellowcard Alex Greenwood 81'
  • yellowcard Jessica Park 85'
  • yellowcard Lauren Hemp 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Khadija Shaw 90'+3'
Women's Super League Gameweek 21
May 5, 2024 2.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Academy Stadium
  • Lauren Hemp 17' goal
  • Laura Coombs 36' yellowcard
  • Leila Ouahabi 74' yellowcard
  • Lauren Hemp 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cloe Lacasse 51'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 89'
  • goal Stina Blackstenius 90'+2'
Women's Super League Gameweek 5
Nov 5, 2023 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Colney Training Centre
  • Lia Walti 6' yellowcard
  • Cloe Lacasse 7' yellowcard
  • Steph Catley 14' goal
  • Victoria Pelova 34' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 53' yellowcard
  • Stina Blackstenius 87' goal
  • Katie McCabe 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lauren Hemp 13'
  • yellowcard Khiara Keating 18'
  • yellowcard Leila Ouahabi 35'
  • goal Chloe Kelly 72'