Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.94%) and 0-3 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
