Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 78.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.94%) and 0-3 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 1-0 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 6.84% | 14.6% | 78.56% |
| Both teams to score 39.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.07% | 41.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% | 64.34% |
| Birmingham City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.78% | 56.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.4% | 88.59% |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.82% 2-1 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 6.84% | 1-1 @ 6.88% 0-0 @ 4.89% 2-2 @ 2.42% Other @ 0.41% Total : 14.6% | 0-2 @ 14.58% 0-1 @ 11.94% 0-3 @ 11.87% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-4 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 6.84% 1-4 @ 4.17% 0-5 @ 3.54% 1-5 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-6 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.31% Total : 78.55% |


