Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2026 12.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Colney Training Centre
  • Olivia Smith 66' goal
  • Georgia Marie Stanway 70' yellowcard
  • goal Océane Aline Andréa Jackie Hurtré 53'
  • yellowcard Neve Grace Herron 72'

Arsenal Women vs Birmingham City Women - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Oct 4, 2026 4.30pm
Man City 4 - 2 Arsenal
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Lisa Baum

Birmingham City Women

All competitions
Women's Super League
Last game
Oct 4, 2026 2.00pm
Everton 2 - 1 B'ham Women
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Océane Aline Andréa Jackie Hurtré

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 82%. A draw had a probability of 11.15% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 6.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%) , while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal Women 82% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 11.15% ▲ (+0.39)
Birmingham City Women 6.84% ▲ (+0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.13% ▲ (+0.53)

Goals

Over 1.5 87.21% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 12.79% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 2.5 70.56% ▼ (-0.93)
Under 2.5 29.44% ▲ (+0.93)
Over 3.5 48.97% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 3.5 51.03% ▲ (+0.76)
Over 4.5 38.49% ▼ (-0.76)
Under 4.5 61.51% ▲ (+0.76)

First Half Winner

Arsenal Women 63.8% ▲ (+0.96)
Draw 26.34% ▼ (-1.22)
Birmingham City Women 9.86% ▲ (+0.25)

Team To Score First

Arsenal Women 80.1% ▼ (-0.28)
No Goal 2.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Birmingham City Women 17.31% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 69.27% ▼ (-1.35)
Equal 8 8.72% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 8 22.01% ▲ (+1.00)
Over 9 59.55% ▼ (-1.64)
Equal 9 9.72% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 9 30.73% ▲ (+1.36)
Over 10.5 49.49% ▼ (-1.79)
Under 10.5 50.51% ▲ (+1.79)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 1.5 77.96% ▼ (-1.00)
Under 1.5 22.04% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 2.5 55.42% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 2.5 44.58% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 3.5 33.11% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 66.89% ▲ (+0.57)

Birmingham City Women Goals

Over 0.5 34.75% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 65.25% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 11.62% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 88.38% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 2.39% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 97.61% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 0.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 99.42% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Arsenal Women 81.99%
Draw 11.17%
Birmingham City Women 6.84%
Arsenal Women
3-0 @ 10.9% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.62% ▼ (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.26)
1-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 7.25% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 33.1% ▼ (-0.56)
Total : 81.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.22% ▲ (+0.24)
2-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.17)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 11.17%
Birmingham City Women
0-1 @ 2.16% ▲ (+0.23)
1-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.57% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 6.84%

Head to Head

Women's Super League Gameweek 16
Mar 6, 2022 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Rafaelle Souza 14' goal
  • Vivianne Miedema 31' goal
  • Lia Walti 61' yellowcard
  • Beth Mead 71' goal
  • Laura Wienroither 75' yellowcard
  • Caitlin Foord 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Gemma Lawley 44'
  • yellowcard Rebecca Holloway 58'
  • goal Libby Smith 76'
  • goal Lucy Quinn 82'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Jan 9, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Libby Smith 3' goal
  • Veatriki Sarri 42' goal
  • Harriet Scott 85' yellowcard
  • Lucy Quinn 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mana Iwabuchi 60'
  • yellowcard Vivianne Miedema 79'
Women's Super League Gameweek 11
Mar 7, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Caitlin Foord 37'
  • goal Caitlin Foord 39'
  • yellowcard Leah Williamson 50'
  • goal Vivianne Miedema 76'
  • goal Lisa Evans 90'+3'
Women's Super League Gameweek 6
Dec 6, 2020 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Caitlin Foord 57' goal
  • Jill Roord 62' goal
  • Kim Little 87' goal
  • yellowcard Harriet Scott 43'
Women's Super League Gameweek 13
Apr 26, 2020 2.00pm
Women's Super League
Jan 5, 2020 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kim Little 9' goal
  • Jordan Nobbs 23' goal