Women's Champions League | Second Round | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stadio Filadelfia

Juventus
3 - 1
PSG

Vangsgaard (7'), Cantore (34'), Bennison (61')
Kate Krumbiegel (24'), Calligaris (58'), Cascarino (62')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Samoura (12')
Echegini (17'), Fazer (76'), Lushimba Bilombi (87')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League Second Round clash between Juventus Women and Paris Saint-Germain Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus Women

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Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Juventus
Wednesday, December 21 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
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Paris Saint-Germain Women

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Last Game: PSG 1-2 Lyon
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Women's Champions League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus Women win with a probability of 52.34%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain Women had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain Women win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus Women would win this match.

Result
Juventus WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
52.34% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)21.89% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)25.77% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 63.15% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (0.11 0.11)36.12% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (0.118 0.12)58.23% (-0.118 -0.12)
Juventus Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.99% (0.024000000000001 0.02)14.01% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.45% (0.044999999999995 0.04)41.55% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Paris Saint-Germain Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (0.101 0.1)26.56% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (0.132 0.13)61.77% (-0.131 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Juventus Women 52.34%
    Paris Saint-Germain Women 25.77%
    Draw 21.89%
Juventus WomenDrawParis Saint-Germain Women
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 52.34%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.32% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.89%
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.79% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 25.77%