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West Brom logo
Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Blackpool

West Brom
2 - 1
Blackpool

Carroll (42'), Grant (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ekpiteta (53')
Husband (71')

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Blackpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

West Bromwich Albion, who currently sit 12th in the Championship, could climb to within five points of the playoff places if results go their way and they collect maximum points on Friday.

This week's visitors to the Hawthorns, Blackpool, occupy 16th spot and are looking to return to winning ways after four consecutive outings without victory.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion manager Steve Bruce before the match on April 6, 2022© Reuters

Steve Bruce had to bide his time to secure his first win as manager of the Baggies, but since that first victory against Hull at the beginning of March, West Brom have put together a decent run of results.

However, Friday's hosts will have to bounce back from a loss last time out, when they welcomed Stoke City to the West Midlands and suffered a 3-1 defeat, despite creating as many chances as their visitors.

The Baggies have only lost three games on home soil this season, during which time they have conceded just 15 goals in 20 matches, the joint-second-best record in the division.

At the other end of the pitch, though, West Brom have not managed to score as many goals as the majority of the sides above them in the table, suggesting that they will look to prioritise keeping a clean sheet on Friday.

Blackpool's CJ Hamilton and James Husband celebrate after the match on March 12, 2022© Reuters

Neil Critchley's side have continued to slip down the Championship in recent weeks, but they did prevent a third consecutive defeat by earning a 1-1 draw against playoff-chasing Blackburn Rovers on Saturday.

The Tangerines went 1-0 behind within 10 minutes of that game, but an early second-half strike from Marvin Ekpiteta ensured that the visitors took a point from their Lancashire counterparts.

Blackpool have only won once in their last 12 matches in all competitions on their travels, dating back to the end of October, but they have managed to secure many draws away from home since then which has kept their points tally ticking over.

West Brom have won possession in their attacking final third the most out of any side in the second tier, meaning that Critchley's side can expect to be pressed high on Friday.

In the reverse fixture at Bloomfield Road in November, these two teams played out a goalless draw but the Baggies, in particular, would have come away from that encounter wondering how they did not pick up two more points, having created many chances on goal.

West Bromwich Albion Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Blackpool Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Blackpool manager Neil Critchley celebrates after the match on March 12, 2022© Reuters

West Brom striker Daryl Dike will continue to be absent from the Baggies' squad due to a tendon injury, which has ruled him out for the rest of the campaign.

Centre-back Kean Bryan has not featured since the beginning of April due to a knee injury, and while he is expected to make his return to the pitch this month, Friday's outing has come too soon for the 25-year-old.

Grady Diangana is certain to lead the line with Andy Carroll, while Taylor Gardner-Hickman and Conor Townsend will provide the width from their wing-back roles, in a 3-5-2 formation.

Meanwhile for the visitors, Dujon Sterling, Grant Ward, Luke Garbutt and Sonny Carey are ruled out due to injury and Chris Maxwell will continue between the posts after Daniel Grimshaw was forced off after just 20 minutes against Preston earlier this month.

Jordan Thorniley came back into the defensive four last time out, and is expected to keep his place alongside Ekpiteta, with James Husband and Jordan Gabriel likely to operate in the full-back positions.

Winger Charlie Kirk, who is on loan from Charlton Athletic, made his first appearance on Saturday since the middle of March, but Keshi Anderson is likely to return to the starting 11 in his place.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; Ajayi, Bartley, Clarke; Townsend, Mowatt, Livermore, Molumby, Gardner-Hickman; Carroll, Diangana

Blackpool possible starting lineup:
Maxwell; Husband, Thorniley, Ekpiteta, Gabriel; Robson, Dougall; Hamilton, Anderson, Bowler; Madine


SM words green background

We say: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Blackpool

Bruce's side will expect themselves to pick up three points on Friday, after recording some impressive victories on home soil against Fulham and Bournemouth which should give the hosts confidence.

Blackpool are in a difficult spell having gone four games without a win, but three of those four matches have been tight affairs which is why the Tangerines are likely to create some problems for West Brom.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Blackpool had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Blackpool win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for West Bromwich Albion.


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Game History

How you voted: West Brom vs Blackpool

West Bromwich Albion
65.9%
Draw
14.6%
Blackpool
19.5%
41
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Bournemouth's Dominic Solanke celebrates scoring their third goal on March 19, 2022
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19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
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21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
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RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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