Welsh Premier League Gameweek 9
Sep 15, 2026 7.45pm
Halkyn Road

Holywell vs Colwyn Bay - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holywell

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 7.45pm
Cambrian & Clydach 2 - 1 Holywell
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Florian Yonsian

Colwyn Bay

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.30pm
Colwyn Bay 2 - 1 Connah's Quay
Goals scored
10
Top scorer
Adam Davies

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Colwyn Bay win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Holywell has a probability of 33.9% and a draw has a probability of 22.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colwyn Bay win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Holywell win is 2-1 (7.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.72%).

Result

Holywell 33.9% ▲ (+1.86)
Draw 22.91% ▲ (+0.49)
Colwyn Bay 43.2% ▼ (-2.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.72% ▼ (-1.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 17.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 61.07% ▼ (-0.86)
Under 2.5 38.93% ▲ (+0.86)
Over 3.5 39.54% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 60.51% ▲ (+0.62)
Over 4.5 24.67% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 4.5 75.33% ▲ (+0.49)

First Half Winner

Holywell 28.63% ▲ (+2.09)
Draw 37.9% ▼ (-0.42)
Colwyn Bay 33.48% ▼ (-1.67)

Team To Score First

Holywell 43.99% ▲ (+2.43)
No Goal 4.39% ▼ (-0.11)
Colwyn Bay 51.62% ▼ (-2.33)

Corners

Over 8 61.78% ▼ (-1.50)
Equal 8 11.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 8 27.22% ▲ (+1.41)
Over 9 50.22% ▼ (-1.49)
Equal 9 11.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 38.22% ▲ (+1.50)
Over 10.5 39.09% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 10.5 60.91% ▲ (+1.34)

Holywell Goals

Over 1.5 39.67% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 1.5 60.33% ▼ (-1.74)
Over 2.5 17.75% ▲ (+1.04)
Under 2.5 82.25% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 7.42% ▲ (+0.64)
Under 3.5 92.58% ▼ (-0.65)

Colwyn Bay Goals

Over 0.5 75.68% ▼ (-1.51)
Under 0.5 24.32% ▲ (+1.52)
Over 1.5 46.84% ▼ (-2.10)
Under 1.5 53.16% ▲ (+2.10)
Over 2.5 22.77% ▼ (-1.65)
Under 2.5 77.23% ▲ (+1.65)
Over 3.5 8.7% ▼ (-1.13)
Under 3.5 91.3% ▲ (+1.12)

Score analysis

Holywell 33.9%
Draw 22.9%
Colwyn Bay 43.2%
Holywell
2-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.34)
2-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.50)
3-1 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.21)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.59)
Total : 33.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 22.9%
Colwyn Bay
1-2 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.24)
0-1 @ 7.35% ▼ (-0.16)
0-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.19)
1-3 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.31)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▼ (-0.35)
Other @ 8.47% ▼ (-1.18)
Total : 43.2%