Caernarfon Town vs Connah's Quay Nomads - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.