MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 21:17:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 1
Connah's Quay


Hughes (23'), Donohue (53'), Simpson (79')
Hughes (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eardley (68')
Harrington (64')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 67.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 2-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
14.29%18.65%67.07%
Both teams to score 54.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.71%38.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.43%60.57%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.94%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46%10.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75%34.25%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 14.29%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 67.06%
    Draw 18.65%
Caernarfon TownDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.07%
1-0 @ 3.87%
2-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-1 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 14.29%
1-1 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.58%
0-0 @ 4.13%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.65%
0-2 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.79%
0-1 @ 9.3%
0-3 @ 7.85%
1-3 @ 7.35%
0-4 @ 4.42%
1-4 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 3.44%
0-5 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.93%
1-5 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.53%
Total : 67.06%

How you voted: Caernarfon vs Connah's Quay

Caernarfon Town
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Connah's Quay Nomads
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Connah's Quay
1-1
Caernarfon
Disney (50')
Curran (32'), Owens (70')
Thomas (28')
Hughes (45+3'), Gosset (71')
May 8, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-0
Caernarfon
Insall (10'), Williams (69'), Morris (77', 90+2')
Wilde (37')

Hayes (77'), Mendes (83')
Brass (67')
Apr 13, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Caernarfon
1-6
Connah's Quay
Bickerstaff (24')
Edwards (31')
Poole (16'), Wilde (32'), Jones (54' og.), Davies (73', 90'), Horan (79')
Nov 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
1-2
Connah's Quay
Edwards (55')
Hayes (33'), (86'), (90+8')
Bradley (90+4')
Wilde (75'), Morris (90+2' pen.)
(76'), (85')
Brass (90+9'), Roberts (90+9')
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Connah's Quay
3-1
Caernarfon
Farquharson (46', 79'), Wilde (52')
Curran (65')
Jones (19')
Williams (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints660099168380
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay621367412654
3Bala TownBala Town632134241048
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon72324956-740
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU71243452-1839
6Newtown AFCNewtown61054044-436
Relegation Round
1Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest61323337-434
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont63213937233
3Barry Town UnitedBarry60513350-1728
4Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd53203664-2821
5Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth51222151-3020
6Colwyn Bay61233061-3119
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813


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