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VVV-Venlo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 13
Dec 19, 2020 at 5.45pm UK
De Koel
FC Twente logo

VVV-Venlo
1 - 2
FC Twente

Linthorst (70')
Schmitz (75'), van Crooy (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Danilo (27'), Ilic (63')
Ilic (40'), Danilo (85')

Preview: VVV-Venlo vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between VVV-Venlo and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Relegation-threatened VVV-Venlo face sixth-placed FC Twente in what is likely to prove a difficult challenge for the hosts.

Twente have stumbled a little of late, but VVV are in dire form and the visitors will expect to return to winning ways on Saturday.


Match preview

Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

VVV have endured a poor campaign so far, sitting 15th in the Eredivisie table - only just outside the relegation zone.

They are one point and one place above the relegation playoffs, and just two points and two places above the automatic drop.

Despite claiming victory in their first game of the season - a 5-3 thriller against FC Emmen - VVV have won just once more in their subsequent 11 league games.

VVV are still yet to keep a clean sheet this season and have the worst defensive record in the league, conceding a whopping 36 goals in just 12 outings.

A significant chunk of those goals conceded came in a humiliating 13-0 home drubbing by Ajax - an extraordinary scoreline that will no doubt have been a significant blow to morale.

Those numbers will make for good reading for Twente, who boast the fifth-best goalscoring record in the Eredivisie, notching 24 strikes thus far.

Twente lost just one of their first nine fixtures as they started the season strongly, but two defeats in their last three games has halted their momentum somewhat.

Despite that, their one victory in that spell was a memorable 2-1 victory over league leaders Ajax, who suffered just their second defeat of the season at the hands of Twente.

VVV-Venlo Eredivisie form: LWLDLL
VVV-Venlo form (all competitions): WLDLLW

FC Twente Eredivisie form: WWDLWL


Team News

VVV head coach Jay Driessen has just one injury issue to contend with ahead of Saturday's fixture.

Georgios Giakoumakis is sidelined and will not return until the beginning of next year.

Meanwhile, Twente manager Ron Jans has the same issue, with only one unavailable player.

Thijs van Leeuwen is still struggling with a groin injury and is also expected to return early next month.

Aside from that, both managers have fully-fit squads to pick from.

VVV-Venlo possible starting lineup:
D van Crooy; Pachonik, Kum, Swinkels, Schafer; Linthorst; Hupperts, Hunte; V van Crooy; John, Arias

FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Ebuehi, Pleguezuelo, Pierie, Smal; Roemeratoe, Brama, Ilic; Cerny, Danilo, Menig


SM words green background

We say: VVV-Venlo 1-3 FC Twente

Twente may have suffered a slight dip in form recently but VVV are in free-fall and should offer little resistance against a far superior outfit.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that both teams will score (BTTS - yes) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS Yes:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 45.35%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.


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Ajax players celebrate scoring against FC Midtjylland on November 25, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Willem II34227571304173
2Roda JC352011466313571
3Groningen34207764283667
4Dordrecht351812569462366
5De GraafschapDe Graafschap35185125548759
6ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag341610865442158
7NAC BredaNAC Breda35149125853551
8MVV MaastrichtMVV34147135854449
9Jong AZJong AZ34147135355-249
10EmmenEmmen35146155258-648
11Helmond SportHelmond35138144951-247
12Cambuur34136156765245
13VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo34129134851-345
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax35109165262-1039
15FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven34814124153-1238
16TelstarTelstar3596204363-2033
17TOP OssOss35102232960-3132
18Jong PSVJong PSV3487195476-2231
19Den BoschDen Bosch3579193462-2830
20Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht3459202967-3824


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