Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw has a probability of 28% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.53%).