Uruguayan Primera Division
Jun 22, 2025 7.00pm

Racing de Montevideo vs Progreso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing de Montevideo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 16, 2025 11.00pm
Danubio 0 - 0 Racing
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Sebastian Sosa

Progreso

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Jun 19, 2025 4.30pm
Progreso 2 - 0 Boston River
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.73%. A draw has a probability of 28% and a win for Progreso has a probability of 24.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Progreso win it is 0-1 (9.53%).

Result

Racing de Montevideo 47.73%
Draw 28%
Progreso 24.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.87%

Goals

Over 2.5 37.99%
Under 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 18.26%
Under 3.5 81.74%
Over 4.5 7.35%
Under 4.5 92.64%

Racing de Montevideo Goals

Over 0.5 73.84%
Under 0.5 26.16%
Over 1.5 38.76%
Under 1.5 61.24%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 58.06%
Under 0.5 41.94%
Over 1.5 21.62%
Under 1.5 78.38%

Score analysis

Racing de Montevideo 47.73%
Draw 27.99%
Progreso 24.27%
Racing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 14.71%
2-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.57%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.48%
4-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 47.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 3.72%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.99%
Progreso
0-1 @ 9.53%
1-2 @ 5.56%
0-2 @ 4.14%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 24.27%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 9
Mar 30, 2025 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parque Federico Omar Saroldi
  • Adrian Colombino 23' yellowcard
  • Agustin Pinheiro Goggia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Agustin Nahuel Moreira Morales 70' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Gentilio 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Santiago Ramirez 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 25'
  • yellowcard Mateo Valentin Caceres 33'
  • yellowcard Juan Pablo Bosca Fraquelli 58'
  • redcard Agustin Pereira 90'+9'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Osvaldo Roberto
  • Robinson Ferreira 57' yellowcard
  • Jose Varela 59' yellowcard
  • Thiago Espinosa 67' goal
  • Mateo Valentin Caceres 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Lemmo 29'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Alles 73'
  • yellowcard Martin Marta 77'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Jul 7, 2024 4.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Ignacio Lemmo 8' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 26' yellowcard
  • Mauro Joaquin Martin Colman 45' goal
  • Sebastian Cardozo 54' yellowcard
  • Horacio Sequeira 78' goal
  • Joel Poiso 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Nandin 5'
  • yellowcard Hugo Magallanes 15'
  • yellowcard Lucas Monzon 76'
  • goal Dylan Nandin 84'
  • yellowcard Hernan Labraga 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 7.30pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Abraham Paladino
  • Franco Lopez 42' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 61' goal
  • Joel Poiso 72' yellowcard
  • Franco Lopez 74' goal
  • Ignacio Lemmo 88' goal
  • goal Agustin Pereira 4'
  • yellowcard Agustin Pereira 30'
  • goal Agustin Alaniz 52'
  • goal Nicolas Sosa 90'+3'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Oct 9, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Alexander Rosso 22' goal
  • Danilo Asconeguy 28' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 31' goal
  • Gonzalo Andrada 68' yellowcard
  • Leandro Sosa 75' yellowcard
  • Nicola Perez 81' yellowcard
  • Alexander Rosso 83' yellowcard
  • Mathias Riquero 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Zazpe 3'
  • yellowcard Martin Barrios 45'
  • goal Nicolas Sosa 54'
  • yellowcard Matias Mirabaje 83'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Brasesco 89'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Mar 17, 2019 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Julian Perujo 48' goal
  • Martin Barrios 77' goal
  • Mauro Estol 82' goal
  • Mauro Estol 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Moreira 49'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Viega 91'