Dec 13, 2020 8.30pm

3

2

HT : 2 1

FT Estadio CampeÃ³n del Siglo

Fabricio Formiliano 28'
David Terans 37'
Robert Herrera 38'
Gary Kagelmacher 57'
Christian Bravo 68'
Facundo Torres 82'
Ariel Nahuelpan 88'
Urreta 90'

Gabriel Neves 40'
Santiago Rodriguez 46'

Penarol vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

W
L
W
D
L
D

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
W
L
L
D

Last game

Nov 22, 2020 10.30pm

Penarol 2 - 0 Boston River

Nacional

All competitions

L
D
W
D
L
W

Uruguayan Primera Division

W
L
W
W
W
W

Last game

Nov 29, 2020 11.00pm

Boston River 0 - 1 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result

Penarol 41.83%

Draw 28.03%

Nacional 30.14%

Both Teams to Score:

46.49%

Goals

Over 2.5 40.69%

Under 2.5 59.31%

Over 3.5 20.29%

Under 3.5 79.71%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5 72.04%

Under 0.5 27.96%

Over 1.5 36.41%

Under 1.5 63.59%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 64.54%

Under 0.5 35.46%

Over 1.5 27.77%

Under 1.5 72.23%

Score analysis

Penarol 41.83%

Draw 28.02%

Nacional 30.13%

Penarol

1-0 @ 12.63%

2-1 @ 8.35%

2-0 @ 8.05%

3-1 @ 3.55%

3-0 @ 3.42%

3-2 @ 1.84%

4-1 @ 1.13%

4-0 @ 1.09%

Other @ 1.77%

Total : 41.83%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.09%

0-0 @ 9.91%

2-2 @ 4.33%

Other @ 0.69%

Total : 28.02%

Nacional

0-1 @ 10.27%

1-2 @ 6.79%

0-2 @ 5.33%

1-3 @ 2.35%

0-3 @ 1.84%

2-3 @ 1.5%

Other @ 2.06%

Total : 30.13%

Head to Head

Aug 9, 2020 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Centenario

Gonzalo Bergessio 33'
Mathias Suarez 35'

Matias Britos 62'
David Terans 81'
Agustin Alvarez 90'

Dec 15, 2019 8.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Mathias Cardacio 15'
Guzman Corujo 28'
Matias Vina 62'
Matias Zunino 81'
Gabriel Neves 86'

Ezequiel Busquets 4'
Gabriel Rojas 31'
Gaston Rodriguez 42'
Fabian Estoyanoff 45'
Ignacio Lores 47'
Ignacio Lores 85'
Kevin Dawson 89'
Fabricio Formiliano 95'

Dec 11, 2019 11.30pm

0

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Lucas Viatri 33'
Giovanni Gonzalez 49'
Enzo Martinez 68'
Gaston Rodriguez 73'
Fabian Estoyanoff 91'

Rafael Garcia 27'
Chory Castro 62'
Guzman Corujo 66'
Pablo Barrientos 91'

Nov 17, 2019 7.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Armando Mendez 75'
Felipe Carvalho 92'
Rafael Garcia 93'

Xisco 40'
Gabriel Rojas 76'
Rodrigo Abascal 82'

Sep 1, 2019 7.00pm

3

0

HT : 2 0

FT

Chory Castro 24'
Chory Castro 35'
Guillermo Cotugno 42'
Felipe Carballo 66'
Pablo Barrientos 84'
Gabriel Neves 87'

Gabriel Rojas 34'
Lucas Viatri 64'

May 12, 2019 7.00pm

1

1

HT : 1 1

FT

Agustin Canobbio 3'
Guzman Corujo 45'
Walter Gargano 50'
Cristian Lema 75'
Cristian Rodriguez 77'
Marcel Novick 77'

Gonzalo Bergessio 27'
Kevin Ramirez 37'
Cristian Rodriguez 40' (OG)
Rodrigo Amaral 45'
Gonzalo Bergessio 45'
Octavio Rivero 79'

Form Data

Penarol 2 - 0 Boston River

Fenix 1 - 0 Penarol

Penarol 4 - 1 Maldonado

Penarol 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield

Defensor 2 - 1 Penarol

Velez Sarsfield 0 - 0 Penarol

River Plate 2 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 0 - 0 Independiente

Boston River 0 - 1 Nacional

Independiente 0 - 0 Nacional

Nacional 0 - 2 Danubio

River Plate 0 - 2 Nacional