Copa Sudamericana
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Pablo Galdames
44'
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Luis Abram
65'
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Ricardo Centurion
74'
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David Terans
29'
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Fabricio Formiliano
45'+1'
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Joaquin Piquerez
70'
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Matias Britos
90'+2'
Velez Sarsfield vs Penarol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 48.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result
Velez Sarsfield
48.48%
Draw
27.63%
Penarol
23.88%
Both Teams to Score:
43.45%
Goals
Over 2.5
38.92%
Under 2.5
61.08%
Over 3.5
18.94%
Under 3.5
81.05%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5
74.62%
Under 0.5
25.37%
Over 1.5
39.83%
Under 1.5
60.17%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5
58.22%
Under 0.5
41.77%
Over 1.5
21.76%
Under 1.5
78.24%
Score analysis
Velez Sarsfield
48.48%
Draw
27.61%
Penarol
23.88%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0
@
14.53%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 48.48%
2-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.7%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-1 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 48.48%
Draw
1-1
@
12.68%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.61%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.61%
Penarol
0-1
@
9.25%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.88%
1-2 @ 5.54%
0-2 @ 4.04%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.18%
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.88%