Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.