Europa League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2026 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT King Power at Den Dreef
  • David Hubert 39' yellowcard
  • Nohim Chibani 58' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Smith 73' yellowcard
  • Sekou Abrahame Keita 88' goal
  • goal Beñat Turrientes 46'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Sarr 74'

Union SG vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (6.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result

Union SG 49.95% ▼ (-2.04)
Draw 24.44% ▼ (-0.13)
Real Sociedad 25.61% ▲ (+2.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.06% ▲ (+1.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.7% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 1.5 21.3% ▼ (-1.01)
Over 2.5 55.6% ▲ (+1.36)
Under 2.5 44.4% ▼ (-1.36)
Over 3.5 32.78% ▲ (+1.25)
Under 3.5 67.22% ▼ (-1.24)
Over 4.5 19.72% ▲ (+0.76)
Under 4.5 80.28% ▼ (-0.77)

First Half Winner

Union SG 40.26% ▲ (+0.29)
Draw 39.81% ▼ (-0.19)
Real Sociedad 19.93% ▼ (-0.09)

Team To Score First

Union SG 59.77% ▲ (+0.27)
No Goal 5.76% ▼ (-0.38)
Real Sociedad 34.47% ▲ (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 56.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.34%
Under 8 32.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 9 44.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 43.91% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 34.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 65.86% ▲ (+0.02)

Union SG Goals

Over 1.5 50.32% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 1.5 49.68% ▲ (+0.79)
Over 2.5 24.8% ▼ (-0.49)
Under 2.5 75.2% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 3.5 10.59% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 89.41% ▲ (+0.22)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 61.62% ▲ (+2.22)
Under 0.5 38.38% ▼ (-2.22)
Over 1.5 29.56% ▲ (+2.53)
Under 1.5 70.44% ▼ (-2.54)
Over 2.5 10.95% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 2.5 89.05% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 3.5 3.23% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 96.77% ▼ (-0.60)

Score analysis

Union SG 49.96%
Draw 24.44%
Real Sociedad 25.6%
Union SG
2-1 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.17)
1-0 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.69)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.59)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 5% ▼ (-0.34)
3-2 @ 2.79% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 49.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.38)
2-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 24.44%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 6.45% ▲ (+0.41)
0-1 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.35)
2-3 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.22)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.24)
Other @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.58)
Total : 25.6%