Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 14, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Kovalivka

Mariupol
1 - 4
Kovalivka

Bondarenko (45+1')
Kulakov (41'), Chobotenko (57')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Churko (5'), Kostyshyn (29'), Novak (48'), Lysenko (61')
Alvaro Ngamba (75'), Antyukh (90+1'), Zolotov (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Kolos Kovalivka.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kolos Kovalivka win with a probability of 46.55%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kolos Kovalivka would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawKolos Kovalivka
27.51%25.94%46.55%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31%52.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67%74.33%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35%70.65%
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39%22.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77%56.23%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 27.51%
    Kolos Kovalivka 46.55%
    Draw 25.94%
MariupolDrawKolos Kovalivka
1-0 @ 8.29%
2-1 @ 6.66%
2-0 @ 4.48%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 7.68%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.94%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 9.17%
0-2 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.69%
0-4 @ 1.56%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.55%

rhs 2.0


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