Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Dec 5, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
Dynamo Kiev

Mariupol
1 - 2
Dynamo Kiev

Topalov (90+5')
Sikan (16'), Peterman (49'), Myshnyov (50'), Dobrokhotov (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harmash (6'), Tsygankov (78')
Neshcheret (39')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 53.05%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Dynamo Kiev in this match.

Result
MariupolDrawDynamo Kiev
23.84%23.11%53.05%
Both teams to score 56.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.29%43.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.9%66.1%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36%68.64%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.54%16.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.84%46.16%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 23.84%
    Dynamo Kiev 53.05%
    Draw 23.11%
MariupolDrawDynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 6.15%
1-0 @ 6.01%
2-0 @ 3.41%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.1%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 23.84%
1-1 @ 10.83%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-1 @ 9.55%
0-2 @ 8.62%
1-3 @ 5.88%
0-3 @ 5.18%
2-3 @ 3.34%
1-4 @ 2.65%
0-4 @ 2.34%
2-4 @ 1.5%
1-5 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.05%

rhs 2.0


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