Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 4, 2020 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
2 - 1
Dynamo Kiev

Messi (5' pen.), Pique (65')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Tsygankov (75')
Buyalskyy (70')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 8.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
67.31%	23.76%	8.93%

Both teams to score 26.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.26%

67.75%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.24%

85.76%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.72%

20.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.37%

52.63%

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

33.07%

66.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

6.19%

93.81%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 67.3%

Dynamo Kiev 8.93%

Draw 23.76%

Barcelona	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 21.65% 2-0 @ 17.27% 3-0 @ 9.19% 2-1 @ 6.94% 3-1 @ 3.69% 4-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.25% Total : 67.3%	0-0 @ 13.57% 1-1 @ 8.7% 2-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.76%	0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 1.75% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.64% Total : 8.93%