Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Oct 20, 2020 at 8pm UK

Camp Nou

Barcelona
5 - 1
Ferencvaros

Messi (27' pen.), Fati (42'), Coutinho (52'), Pedri (82'), Dembele (89')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kharatin (70' pen.)
Bilal Laidouni (32'), Civic (44'), Kharatin (85'), Kovacevic (90+1')

Reaction

Barcelona's Lionel Messi celebrates with teammates after scoring against Ferencvaros on October 20, 2020

Lionel Messi breaks another Champions League record in Ferencvaros win

Barcelona talisman Lionel Messi makes yet more Champions League history by scoring in the competition for a 16th consecutive season.

Oct 21, 13:49

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 71.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.85%) and 3-0 (10.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.87%), while for a Ferencvaros win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Ferencvaros
71.76%	21.49%	6.75%

Both teams to score 23.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.68%

66.32%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.2%

84.8%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.94%

18.06%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02%

48.98%

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

28.73%

71.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

4.59%

95.41%

Score Analysis

Barcelona 71.76%

Ferencvaros 6.75%

Draw 21.49%

Barcelona	Draw	Ferencvaros
1-0 @ 22.03% 2-0 @ 18.85% 3-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 6.38% 4-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 3.64% 5-0 @ 1.57% 4-1 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.37% Total : 71.76%	0-0 @ 12.87% 1-1 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.07% Total : 21.49%	0-1 @ 4.36% 1-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.12% Total : 6.75%