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Champions League

Ferencvaros
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 16, 2020 at 6pm UK
Groupama Aréna
Dinamo Zagreb

Ferencvaros
2 - 1
Dinamo Zagreb

Lovrencsics (2'), Uzuni (65')
Boli (67'), Nguen (78'), Frimpong (79'), Civic (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Uzuni (23' og.)
Gojak (61'), Jakic (81'), Petkovic (82')
Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between Ferencvaros and Dinamo Zagreb.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 24.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Dinamo Zagreb win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawDinamo Zagreb
50.67%24.94%24.38%
Both teams to score 51.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02%50.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15%72.84%
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61%52.38%
Dinamo Zagreb Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34%35.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57%72.42%
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 50.67%
    Dinamo Zagreb 24.38%
    Draw 24.94%
FerencvarosDrawDinamo Zagreb
1-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.51%
2-0 @ 9.22%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 50.67%
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.17%
2-2 @ 4.9%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 7.4%
1-2 @ 6.12%
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 24.38%