Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 9, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
4 - 1
Desna

Ocheretko (61'), Sikan (63', 79'), Bondarenko (86')
Muravskyi (37'), Bondarenko (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konoplia (44')
Hutsuliak (56'), Dombrovskyi (58'), Sukhotskiy (69')
Dombrovskyi (62')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawDesna Chernihiv
23.58%23.21%53.21%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57%44.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2%66.8%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.33%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.52%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 23.58%
    Desna Chernihiv 53.21%
    Draw 23.2%
MariupolDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-1 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 23.58%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 5.84%
0-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.21%

rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!