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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 26
May 9, 2021 at 12pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium

Mariupol
4 - 1
Desna

Ocheretko (61'), Sikan (63', 79'), Bondarenko (86')
Muravskyi (37'), Bondarenko (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Konoplia (44')
Hutsuliak (56'), Dombrovskyi (58'), Sukhotskiy (69')
Dombrovskyi (62')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 53.21%. A win for Mariupol had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Mariupol win was 1-0 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
MariupolDrawDesna Chernihiv
23.58%23.21%53.21%
Both teams to score 56.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57%44.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.2%66.8%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.22%32.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.66%69.33%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.52%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 23.58%
    Desna Chernihiv 53.21%
    Draw 23.2%
MariupolDrawDesna Chernihiv
1-0 @ 6.09%
2-1 @ 6.09%
2-0 @ 3.4%
3-1 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.03%
3-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 23.58%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 9.79%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 5.84%
0-3 @ 5.24%
2-3 @ 3.26%
1-4 @ 2.62%
0-4 @ 2.35%
2-4 @ 1.46%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.21%

Head to Head
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Desna
2-0
Mariupol
Kartushov (50'), Khlyobas (56')
Dombrovskyi (77'), Kartushov (90+3')

Chobotenko (76'), Bondarenko (79'), Chekh (84')
Feb 29, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 20
Desna
4-0
Mariupol
Totovytsky (12', 21'), Filippov (58' pen.), Kalitvintsev (90')

Chobotenko (6'), Dawa (19'), Ihnatenko (53'), Muravskyi (57')
Sep 29, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 9
Mariupol
0-4
Desna
Khlyobas (20', 67'), Filippov (21', 81')
Oct 27, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 13
Desna
2-0
Mariupol
Bezborodko (5', 47')

Boriachuk (41')
Jul 29, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mariupol
1-4
Desna
Vakula (68')
Kiryukhantsev (28')
Khlyobas (3', 22'), Filippov (59', 78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar25194254203461
2Dynamo Kiev25183459253457
3Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi26166447252254
4Dnipro-1Dnipro-126129536251145
5Rukh Lviv261111439271244
6Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya2612683226642
7LNZ CherkasyCherkasy2688102531-632
8Vorskla PoltavaVorskla2686122338-1530
9Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2561181819-129
10Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2592143436-229
11Zorya LuhanskLuhansk2569102532-727
12FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya2668122234-1226
13Obolon KyivObolon26410121635-1922
14Veres2548132338-1520
15Minai26310132040-2019
16Metalist Kharkiv2647152547-2219


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