Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 25
May 5, 2021 at 5pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium

Vorskla
1 - 1
Desna

Thill (18')
Yakubu (62'), Sapai (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gitchenko (54')
Konoplia (39'), Tamm (68'), Hutsuliak (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Desna Chernihiv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDesna Chernihiv
33.99%24.66%41.35%
Both teams to score 58.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52%44.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15%66.85%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59%25.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78%60.23%
Desna Chernihiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.45%21.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.38%54.62%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 33.99%
    Desna Chernihiv 41.35%
    Draw 24.66%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDesna Chernihiv
2-1 @ 7.89%
1-0 @ 7.5%
2-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-2 @ 2.76%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 33.99%
1-1 @ 11.51%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-1 @ 8.41%
0-2 @ 6.45%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 3.1%
1-4 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.27%
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 41.35%