European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Oct 9, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Rajko Mitic

Serbia U21s
1 - 0
Poland U21s

Nikolic (11')
Erakovic (35'), Markovic (49'), Kamenovic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gumny (55'), Slisz (66'), Rosolek (78')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Serbia Under-21s and Poland Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia Under-21s win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Poland Under-21s had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Poland Under-21s win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Serbia Under-21s in this match.

Result
Serbia Under-21sDrawPoland Under-21s
39.37%26.49%34.13%
Both teams to score 52.33%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.52%52.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.85%74.15%
Serbia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89%26.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83%61.17%
Poland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82%29.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88%65.12%
Score Analysis
    Serbia Under-21s 39.37%
    Poland Under-21s 34.13%
    Draw 26.49%
Serbia Under-21sDrawPoland Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 3.79%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 5.78%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.37%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.13%