Serbia U21s
1 - 2
Bulgaria U21s

Ilic (86' pen.)
Kamenovic (48'), Petrovic (66'), Birmancevic (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Iliev (45'), Krastev (64')
Krastev (25'), Tombak (57'), Iliev (75'), Yurukov (80')

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Serbia Under-21s and Bulgaria Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria Under-21s win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Serbia Under-21s had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria Under-21s win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.21%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Serbia Under-21s win was 1-0 (12.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bulgaria Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Serbia Under-21s	Draw	Bulgaria Under-21s
33.39%	30.14%	36.47%

Both teams to score 41.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.41%

65.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.7%

84.3%

Serbia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74%

73.26%

Bulgaria Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93%

71.07%

Score Analysis

Serbia Under-21s 33.39%

Bulgaria Under-21s 36.46%

Draw 30.13%

Serbia Under-21s	Draw	Bulgaria Under-21s
1-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 6.81% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 2.14% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.91% Total : 33.39%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.53% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.13%	0-1 @ 13.38% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 2.57% 0-3 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.46%