MX23RW : Friday, April 26 10:19:08| >> :120:71195:71195:
[monks data]
SPAL logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Torino logo

SPAL
1 - 1
Torino

D'Alessandro (80')
Cionek (18'), Salamon (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Verdi (57')
Ansaldi (38'), Belotti (42'), Rincon (45')

Preview: SPAL vs. Torino - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A fixture between SPAL and Torino, including team news and predicted lineups.

Torino square off against already-relegated SPAL on Sunday evening knowing that victory will be enough to mathematically secure their Serie A status for another 12 months.

As for the home side, they head into the game at Stadio Paolo Mazza looking to regain some pride ahead of their return to the second tier.


Match preview

Torino manager Moreno Longo pictured in June 2020© Reuters

Although Torino remain far below the position in the table which was expected of them at the start of the season, Moreno Longo will be relieved that his side's form has improved in recent games.

Seven points have been recorded from their last five outings, a run which includes crucial victories over the likes of Brescia and Genoa.

The defeats during that period have come at Inter Milan and Fiorentina respectively, results which have extended Torino's recent away record to nine successive setbacks in all competitions.

However, at a time when Andrea Belotti will want to end a two-match streak without a goal, Longo will feel that IL Toro have to capitalise on a trip to opponents who have long been destined to be relegated.

With three matches remaining, SPAL sit 17 points adrift of safety, a far cry from the 13th position which was achieved from the last campaign.

While it remains to be seen whether Luigi Di Biagio will remain at the helm, the former Italy Under-21s boss will at least want to end a winless run which stretches back to March 8.

I Biancazzurri have never recovered from conceding two late goals to draw with AC Milan on July 1, a setback which has acted as the catalyst for six defeats in a row.

Twenty goals have been shipped during that stretch of games, and the club's 6-1 defeat against Roma suggests that they face an uphill task to gain anything this weekend.

SPAL Serie A form: LLLLLL

Torino Serie A form: LWLWLD


Team News

Chelsea loanee Ola Aina playing for Torino in January 2019© Reuters

Ola Aina is expected to come into the Torino starting lineup after Lorenzo De Silvestri's early withdrawal on Wednesday night.

Given the four-day rest period, Longo may be prepared to stick with the remainder of the starting lineup.

SPAL will be without Kevin Bonifazi, who was handed a red card while still as an unused substitute against Roma.

Arkadiusz Reca is expected to be introduced as a replacement for Jacopo Sala at left-back after the latter's early withdrawal on Wednesday evening.

Andrea Petagna could also be brought back into the team should Di Biagio opt to switch to a two-man attack.

SPAL possible starting lineup:
Letica; Tomovic, Vicari, Felipe, Reca; D'Alessandro, Valdifiori, Murgia, Strefezza; Cerri, Petagna

Torino possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Lyanco, Nkoulou, Bremer; Aina, Meite, Rincon, Ansaldi; Verdi; Zaza, Belotti


Sports Mole Logo

We say: SPAL 0-2 Torino

With SPAL seemingly shipping goals for fun, we have to back Belotti and co to take advantage. While it may be nervy for a time, it would come as a surprise if the visitors to not run out relatively comfortable winners.



ID:407710: cacheID:407710:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:6463:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Inter Milan players celebrate with Ashley Young after he scored their opening goal in a win over Brescia
Read Next:
Sunday's Serie A predictions including Roma vs. Inter Milan
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese33416133150-1928
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!