Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 70.3%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 3-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.