Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Saint Kitts and Nevis had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Vincent & the Grenadines win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Vincent & the Grenadines would win this match.