EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Britannia Stadium
  • Bosun Lawal 19' yellowcard
  • Oliver Norburn 48' goal
  • Jun-ho Bae 68' yellowcard
  • Róbert Boženík 82' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 31'

Stoke City vs Oldham Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (8.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Stoke City 36.87% (-0.04)
Draw 24.5% (+0.02)
Oldham Athletic 38.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.09% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.91% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 54.78% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.22% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 33.38% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.62% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 19.55% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 80.45% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Stoke City 25.66% (+0.02)
Draw 44.13%
Oldham Athletic 30.21% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Stoke City 47.1% (-0.08)
No Goal 6.6% (+0.03)
Oldham Athletic 46.3% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 63.31% (-0.01)
Equal 8 10.7%
Under 8 25.98%
Over 9 51.92%
Equal 9 11.39%
Under 9 36.69% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 40.79%
Under 10.5 59.21%

Stoke City Goals

Over 1.5 38.63% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 61.37% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.74% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.26% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 5.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.15% (+0.03)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.12%
Under 0.5 28.88%
Over 1.5 40.39% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.61% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 17.88%
Under 2.5 82.12%
Over 3.5 7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Stoke City 36.86%
Draw 24.49%
Oldham Athletic 38.64%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 8.15%
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 5.68% (-0.02)
Total : 36.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8%
0-0 @ 6.6% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 24.49%
Oldham Athletic
0-1 @ 8.15% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.9% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.1% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.83%
Total : 38.64%