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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 18
Jun 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
St Patrick's Athletic
Waterford
1 - 1
St Patrick's
Griffin (35')
(26'), (58'), (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Smith (8')
Lewis (18')

Preview: Waterford United vs. St Patrick's Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and St Patrick's Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

St Patrick's Athletic square off against Waterford United on Friday evening looking to retain top spot in the League of Ireland Premier Division.

While the visitors sit in first place on goal difference, Waterford face being cut adrift in the bottom two unless they keep stringing wins together over the coming weeks.


Match preview

With no team surging clear in this year's title race, St Patrick's three-match winning streak could prove decisive come the end of the campaign.

Stephen O'Donnell's side have scored nine goals in victories over Longford Town, Sligo Rovers and Finn Harps, conceding on just two occasions.

Ronan Coughlan netted four times during that triple-header, taking his tally for the season to seven after previously enduring a six-game barren spell.

While just one clean sheet has been kept in nine outings, O'Donnell will have few concerns providing that his players can keep producing in the final third.

Another fixture against lower-end opposition has come at the right time for St Patrick's, but they will be wary of Waterford's recent resurgence.

Having previously lost seven matches in succession, the Blues have responded by collecting six points from their following three outings.

Although Marc Bircham has required time to turn Waterford's fortunes around, there is now a feeling that they can further reduce the seven-point margin to eighth-placed Finn Harps.

John Martin was key in the wins over Longford and Dundalk, scoring three times during those fixtures after enduring a below-par start to the campaign.

Waterford United League of Ireland Premier form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

St Patrick's Athletic League of Ireland Premier form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Barring any late fitness issues, O'Donnell could stick with the side which cruised to victory against Finn Harps on Monday.

One change may potentially be made on the left flank with Darragh Burns in contention to replace Billy King.

Bircham is also likely to make minimal alterations after Waterford edged out Longford in their last outing.

The former Queens Park Rangers midfielder waited until the 89th minute before bringing on fresh legs, an indication that he prefers a settled side right now.

Waterford United possible starting lineup:
Murphy; Power, Stafford, Ferguson, Mascoll; Molloy, O'Keeffe, Griffin, O'Reilly; Martin, Mutswunguma

St Patrick's Athletic possible starting lineup:
Jaros; Mountney, Desmond, Barrett, Bermingham; Lewis; Smith, Benson, Forrester, King; Coughlan


SM words green background

We say: Waterford United 1-3 St Patrick's Athletic

Having improved of late, Waterford will believe that they cause a surprise on Friday evening. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore St Patrick's own form, leading us to predict a convincing victory for the visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 75.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 7.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.02%) and 0-3 (11.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Waterford United win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Waterford vs St Patrick's

Waterford United
20.7%
Draw
10.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
69.0%
29
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shelbourne651093616
2Derry CityDerry6321106411
3Sligo RoversSligo623110469
4Waterford UnitedWaterford62229818
5Galway United62134407
6Bohemians521267-17
7Shamrock RoversShamrock51315506
8St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's620458-36
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda5113510-54
10DundalkDundalk502319-82

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