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St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo

St Johnstone
2 - 1
Hearts

Crawford (1'), McCart (56')
Hendry (36'), Butterfield (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Preview: St Johnstone vs. Hearts - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams at opposite ends of the Scottish Premiership will compete on Saturday, when third-placed Hearts make the trip to McDiarmid Park to face St Johnstone, who are currently bottom of the league.

The Saints could climb above Dundee this weekend with a victory; meanwhile, the visitors will be hoping to keep the gap between themselves and the chasing pack as large as it is.


Match preview

St Johnstone manager Callum Davidson pictured on August 5, 2021© Reuters

St Johnstone are without a victory in their previous three outings, but they have drawn two of those matches, which includes their most recent fixture against Aberdeen.

Callum Hendry had given his team the lead early on in the sixth minute, but they were not able to hang on to that, as Lewis Ferguson score a second-half penalty to ensure they shared the points.

The draw was not enough to get the Saints off the foot of the table, as they sit just behind Dundee, but a victory on Saturday could see them leapfrog the Dark Blues as they continue to fight for survival.

Callum Davidson's squad are seven points away from safety right now, which is a gap they will be desperate to close; however, St Johnstone have struggled at home throughout this campaign.

The Saints have won just once in front of their own support, boasting the worst record in the league, and that is something that Hearts will be hoping to exploit this weekend.

Hearts' manager Robbie Neilson on January 26, 2022© Reuters

The visitors are sat in third place right now, with a 10-point gap from the chasing pack, and the Jambos are aiming to maintain that position in order to finish the season strong.

The squad were able to knockout Livingston in the Scottish Cup last weekend following a goalless draw, with Hearts eventually winning via a penalty shootout.

However, their previous three matches in the league have seen them fail to pick up a victory, with defeats against Rangers and Dundee and a draw with Hibernian.

Robbie Neilson's squad have only scored once in their last five games, which is something that the squad have to address if they are hoping to get back to winning ways.

Although, the last time the two teams met Hearts were able to earn three points with a 2-0 defeat, and their previous encounter resulted in a draw, providing the Jambos with some confidence.

St Johnstone Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

St Johnstone form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D

Hearts Scottish Premiership form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Hearts form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Hearts manager Robbie Neilson pictured on October 31, 2020© Reuters

St Johnstone will be without Zander Clark and Melker Hallberg this weekend after they suffered injuries, while Hendry is also unfit, and they are all doubts heading into this fixture.

However, they are not the only players on the sidelines as Shaun Rooney, David Wotherspoon and Chris Kane are also missing, stretching the team even further.

Michael Smith returned to the team in the Scottish Cup following an injury, and he could be in line to feature once again as part of the Hearts midfield.

The Jambos opted to rest Liam Boyce during that game, but the talisman is expected to return to the starting lineup on Saturday, leading the line for the squad.

St Johnstone possible starting lineup:
Parish; Cleary, Gordon, McCart; Booth, Butterfield, Brown, Craig; Middleton, Crawford; May

Hearts possible starting lineup:
Gordon; Sibbick, Souttar, Kingsley; Smith, Devlin, Baningime, Cochrane; McKay, Boyce, Simms


SM words green background

We say: St Johnstone 2-1 Hearts

St Johnstone might be bottom of the league right now, but they head into the match with stronger form, which is something that could provide them with enough confidence to get another result this weekend.

Hearts have the stronger squad, which is reflected by the table, but the Jambos have struggled to score goals as of late, and that might make things difficult for them here against a team desperate for points.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Matthew Wilkinson

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-0 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
57.9%
Draw
15.8%
Hearts
26.3%
19
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Tables header RHS
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2Aberdeen16104230181234
3RangersRangers1510232791832
4Motherwell168172226-425
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9Hibernian173682129-815
10Ross County173681333-2015
11St Johnstone1742112032-1214
12Hearts1734101826-813


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