Champions League Gameweek 1
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Sergi Altimira 22' yellowcard
  • Geny Catamo 27' goal
  • Luis Suárez 43' yellowcard
  • Luis Suárez 57' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 63' goal
  • goal Gonçalo Inácio 5' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eren Elmalı 52'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 80'
  • yellowcard Okan Buruk 83'
  • yellowcard Ismail Jakobs 90'+5'

Sporting Lisbon vs Galatasaray - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Galatasaray

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 46.77% (+0.77)
Draw 22.5% (+0.33)
Galatasaray 30.7% (-1.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.59% (-0.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.44% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 15.56% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 65.29% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 34.71% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 43.58% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 56.42% (+0.29)
Over 4.5 28.45% (-0.31)
Under 4.5 71.55% (+0.30)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 37.23% (+1.92)
Draw 40.13% (-0.37)
Galatasaray 22.63% (-1.57)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 58.7% (+3.54)
No Goal 3.91% (-0.05)
Galatasaray 37.39% (-3.50)

Corners

Over 8 57.33% (+5.06)
Equal 8 10.83% (-0.39)
Under 8 31.84% (-4.69)
Over 9 46.33% (+5.02)
Equal 9 11% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.67% (-5.06)
Over 10.5 36.01% (+4.60)
Under 10.5 63.99% (-4.61)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 52.11% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 47.89% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 27.4% (+0.29)
Under 2.5 72.6% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 11.83% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 88.17% (-0.21)

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5 67.65% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 32.35% (+0.77)
Over 1.5 39.31% (-0.92)
Under 1.5 60.69% (+0.92)
Over 2.5 18.26% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 81.74% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 7.69% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 92.31% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.77%
Draw 22.5%
Galatasaray 30.7%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.08% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 6.88% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 6.05% (+0.25)
3-1 @ 5.1% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 4.18% (-0.12)
3-0 @ 4.12% (+0.15)
Other @ 11.36% (+0.17)
Total : 46.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.42% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 6.53% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.91% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 2.17% (+0.07)
Other @ 0.47% (+0.05)
Total : 22.5%
Galatasaray
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.21)
0-1 @ 4.74% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.13)
Other @ 7.22% (-0.28)
Total : 30.7%