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Sporting Cristal
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Sao Paulo

Cristal
0 - 3
Sao Paulo


Calcaterra (41'), Jhilmar Lora Saavedra (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Luan (17'), Benitez (60'), Eder (81')
Alves (43'), Pele (68')
Pele (90')

Preview: Sporting Cristal vs. Sao Paulo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Sporting Cristal and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sporting Cristal and Sao Paulo get their Copa Libertadores campaigns underway on Wednesday when they clash at the Estadio Alberto Gallardo.

This is the first of two meetings between the sides, who will square up once more at the Cicero Pompeu de Toledo Stadium in just over a months' time.


Match preview

Sao Paulo's Dani Alves celebrates scoring in November 2020© Reuters

Sao Paulo have been in great form since they returned to league action having picked up maximum points from their last four matches.

Hernan Crespo's men defeated last year's Copa Libertadores winners Palmeiras in their last outing where they triumphed 1-0.

The Tricolor will now want to begin their continental adventure on a positive note following a disappointing campaign last time out.

However, they are no strangers to the tournament having won it three times, although their last title came all the way back in 2005.

Sporting Cristal will be hopeful of bringing their domestic form into the Copa Libertadores as they have flown out of the blocks since the Peruvian Premier Division resumed last month.

Roberto Mosquera's men have kicked their season off with four straight wins, scoring 11 goals in the process and conceding just one.

Unsurprisingly, Los Rimenses currently occupy top spot in their division with a three-point lead over their nearest challengers.

Wednesday's hosts failed to qualify for last season's edition of the Copa, and failed to make it out of the group stages when they last featured in 2019.

Their best-ever performance in the tournament came a while ago in 1997, when they fell at the final hurdle against Cruzeiro.

Sporting Cristal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Sao Paulo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Sao Paulo midfielder Igor Gomes pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Mosquera is likely to stick with his regular back four considering the fact that they have let in only one goal in their last four outings.

Marcos Riquelme opened his account for the season in his side's last home fixture, and will be feeling confident ahead of the clash.

Pablo has been directly involved in five goals in his last seven games, so he is expected to be one of the key figures in deciding the outcome of this one.

Dani Alves is renowned for the numerous trophies that he has won in his career, and he will be looking to add this tournament to that long list.

Sporting Cristal possible starting lineup:
Solis; Loyola, Merlo, Castillo, Lora; Gonzales, Calcaterra, Hohberg; Avila, Riquelme

Sao Paulo possible starting lineup:
Volpi; Leo, B. Alves, Arboleda; Reinaldo, Nestor, Luan, D. Alves; Gomes, Pablo, Luciano


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Cristal 1-2 Sao Paulo

Both sides are in really good form coming into this one which should make for a highly entertaining clash. We are tipping the visitors to carry the day and secure all three points in this one.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cristal vs Sao Paulo

Sporting Cristal
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Sao Paulo
44.4%
9
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