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Southend United
National League | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall
Eastleigh

Southend
1 - 0
Eastleigh

Ferguson (69')
Dalby (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hill (58'), Hesketh (90+6'), Whelan (90+6')

Preview: Southend United vs. Eastleigh - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Southend United and Eastleigh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Crisis-hit Southend United are searching for just their second National League win of the season on Tuesday, when they welcome Eastleigh to Roots Hall.

The hosts have not won since the opening day, whilst the visitors are looking to continue their momentum after an initial poor start to the new campaign.


Match preview

Southend United's Nathan Ralph in action with Exeter City's Josh Key in League Two on October 10, 2020© Reuters

The doom and gloom at Southend continued at the weekend, when United lost 2-0 at Solihull Moors to extend their losing streak to four matches in a row.

As mentioned above, the Shrimpers have managed just one win all season, which arrived on the opening day at King's Lynn Town, and have picked up just two points in seven games since.

As a result, despite dropping down into the National League following relegation from League Two last campaign, Phil Brown's side find themselves in the relegation places heading into Tuesday's fixture.

To add to the misery within the club at the moment, there were further protests and disagreements last time out involving the club chairman and the travelling supporters at King's Lynn, with fans unhappy at the running of the club for a number of years.

The manager will be hoping his troubled side can remain focused on the difficult task at hand when they welcome Eastleigh in midweek, and come away with a victory to play a small part in lifting the dark clouds that have been hanging over the club for a number of years.

Meanwhile, visitors Eastleigh find themselves in the middle of a small revival after a slow start to the new campaign.

The Spitfires began with just two points from their opening four fixtures, but since then have lost just once in their next four, to lift them to 15th in the table.

After missing out on a playoff place by just three points in 2020-21, Ben Strevens's men will be looking for a positive result on Tuesday to continue their climb back up the National League.

Most recently, Eastleigh drew 1-1 at home to promotion-chasing Boreham Wood on Saturday at a rain-soaked Ten Acres.

Harry Pritchard had given the hosts the lead just after the half-hour mark, but they were pegged back just three minutes later after conceding a penalty.

Southend United National League form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Eastleigh National League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Eastleigh boss Ben Strevens pictured in December 2019© Reuters

For the hosts, they welcome back Nathan Ralph on Tuesday, after the defender missed out at the weekend through a one-match suspension due to his accumulation of yellow cards.

Charlie Sayers returned to the side in the centre of defence so he may retain his place in the starting 11 for this one too.

New loan signing Benji Kimpioka made his debut up front after arriving on a one-month loan deal from Sunderland so will be hoping to make successive starts, whilst the only player ruled out is long-term absentee Tom Clifford.

As for the visitors, Strevens made one change at the weekend last time out, as Cavanagh Miley dropped out of the lineup for captain Danny Hollands, with no injury concerns to report following that game.

Miley will be pushing to regain his place, as well as Sam Smart, who has been unfortunate to miss out on the starting lineup as of late.

Southend United possible starting lineup:
Arnold; Ogogo, White, Sayers, Ralph; Demetriou, Walsh, Dunne, Bridge; Kimpioka, Murphy

Eastleigh possible starting lineup:
McDonnell; Hare, Boyce, Low; Hill, Hollands, Whelan, Pritchard, Kelly; Barnett, House


SM words green background

We say: Southend United 1-1 Eastleigh

We believe home advantage will help Southend to earn a point against their opponents on Tuesday. Before the season started this would have been a game that the hosts would have expected to win, but the troubles surrounding the club and the awful form, coupled with the decent form of Eastleigh, mean that this could be a tight affair and hard to call so we are predicting a draw.






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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 24.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Southend vs Eastleigh

Southend United
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Eastleigh
28.6%
42
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Phil Brown of Southend United looks on during the Sky Bet League 2 Playoff Semi-Final between Stevenage and Southend United at The Lamex Stadium on May 10, 2015
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chesterfield413056100554595
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3Bromley401913862441870
4Gateshead401991282572566
5Solihull MoorsSolihull411812116457766
6AltrinchamAltrincham4118101377581964
7Aldershot TownAldershot40197146970-164
8Halifax TownHalifax391711115044662
9Oldham AthleticOldham401515105750760
10Southend UnitedSouthend4118111260392155
11Rochdale401510156459555
12Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red411311175854450
13Fylde411310186874-649
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool40147196074-1449
15Woking41139194249-748
16WealdstoneWealdstone381211155159-847
17Ebbsfleet39138185566-1147
18Eastleigh401211176781-1447
19York City411016155065-1546
20Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead401112174458-1445
21Boreham WoodBoreham Wood401014164965-1644
22Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster411013183548-1343
23Dorking WanderersDorking40126224773-2642
24Oxford CityOxford City4178265187-3629


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