Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Radomlje win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Radomlje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Nafta win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Radomlje would win this match.