Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 16.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.