Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Maribor had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Maribor win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Djurgardens IF in this match.