Slovenia head into their fixture with Cyprus realistically requiring all three points to have a chance of ending Group H in third position.
While bottom-placed Cyprus have been out of contention for months, they will want to conclude their World Cup qualifying campaign on a high note.
Match preview
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When Slovenia started Group H with an eye-catching 1-0 victory over Croatia, they would have had high hopes of a third appearance at a World Cup.
However, their campaign petered out before it had really got going, that result being followed by narrow defeats to Russia and Cyprus respectively.
While the inconsistency of other nations left them with hope, Matjaz Kek would have been realistic that it was not to be once they had posted just two wins from six outings.
Three of their four defeats have come by one-goal margins, an indication that things could have easily turned out differently, but Josip Ilicic required far more assistance in the final third.
Although there will be an acceptance that fourth position looks most likely with Slovakia facing Malta, Kek will want a strong performance on Sunday, at least to make up for losing to the same opponents earlier this year.
At the time, Cyprus had lost 10 of their previous 13 matches, their only success during that period coming at home to Luxembourg.
Nevertheless, their 1-0 triumph over Slovakia proved to be a false dawn, Nikos Kostenoglou's team since going on to lose seven of their last eight games.
Each of those defeats came without getting on the scoresheet, their only two strikes since the end of March coming during the 2-2 draw at home to Malta in October.
Despite qualification never realistically being on the cards, this campaign has been somewhat of a comedown after far more respectable efforts ahead of the previous three major tournaments.
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Team News
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Slovenia will be without defender Miha Blazic after he was sent off for two yellow cards on Thursday night.
Having been introduced as a result of that dismissal, Zan Karnicnik is his most likely replacement.
With Slovenia having performed well before being reduced to 10 men, Kek may be prepared to stick with the remaining of the side.
Marios Dimitriou is in line to be introduced at right wing-back for Cyprus, replacing Paris Psaltis.
Midfielder Rafail Mamas was handed his international debut on Thursday and will hope for a first start at the weekend.
Slovenia possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Stojanovic, Mevlja, Karnicnik, Balkovec; Zajc, Stulac, Lovric; Ilicic, Sporar, Verbic
Cyprus possible starting lineup:
Dimitriou; Sotiriou, Karo, Laifis; Psaltis, Kastanos, Artymatas, Ioannou; Tzionis, Sotiriou, Papoulis
We say: Slovenia 3-0 Cyprus
Given their capitulation in Russia, do not expect much from Cyprus in this contest. Slovenia performed well in Slovakia, and we are backing the home side to produce more of the same on Sunday afternoon.
Top tip
Darren Plant
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.83%) and 3-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
