Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banska Bystrica win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banska Bystrica win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.